Putin Warns US Over Ukraine Aid, Seeks to Address India Trade Imbalance

3 October, 2025

Russian President Vladimir Putin has warned the United States that supplying long-range missiles like Tomahawks to Ukraine would represent a "qualitatively new stage of escalation" and seriously damage US-Russia relations. Speaking at the Valdai forum, Putin also addressed the trade imbalance with India, driven by heavy crude oil imports, and ordered his government to devise corrective measures. He praised India's strategic autonomy and referred to Prime Minister Modi as a "wise leader," reaffirming the strong bilateral partnership ahead of a planned visit.

Unpacked:

Why does Russia view the supply of Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine as a major escalation?

Tomahawk missiles have a range of up to 2,500 kilometers, enabling Ukraine to strike deep into Russian territory, including Moscow. Russia considers this a 'red line' and believes such a move would significantly heighten the conflict, potentially provoking a direct confrontation with the US.

What is the current US position on sending Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine?

Although US officials have acknowledged Ukraine's request and are considering it, the likelihood of sending Tomahawks is low due to inventory commitments to the US Navy and operational concerns. The US may instead supply shorter-range alternatives or enable European allies to provide other long-range weapons.

What is the significance of the trade imbalance between Russia and India mentioned by Putin?

The trade imbalance primarily results from India's heavy imports of Russian crude oil, with fewer Russian imports from India in return. Putin has tasked his government with addressing this to ensure a more balanced and sustainable economic relationship.

How does Putin’s praise of India and Prime Minister Modi reflect current Russia-India relations?

Putin’s praise for India's 'strategic autonomy' and for Prime Minister Modi as a 'wise leader' signals strong diplomatic ties and mutual respect. It underscores Russia’s intent to maintain close bilateral relations, particularly as both countries navigate shifting global alliances.